Random Thoughts on a Monday – Adjunct from Yesterday’s Conversation with Audrey

Yesterday, I was sitting at Java, doing work on my PMI Presentation for later this month. I saw Audrey, a woman I met late last month, come through the door. Audrey is pursuing her RN, and I’ve run into her studying once or twice. I was speaking her, and asked her what she was studying. Audrey responded with “oncology.”

That took me in a new direction, and I asked her where they were finding causes for cancer. Largely, to fix a problem, one needs to find its causation. Of course, the second I asked her this, I thought and quickly changed my perspective. “Causes of cancer are like the weather, aren’t they? The systems are so complex and multi-dimensional, predicting cancer in someone is like predicting the weather a year later.” The point is to say that, like the weather, there are no linear causes for things that happen with our bodies. If there is one thing running has taught me, there is nothing so easily reduced to linear causation.

Our human minds, while incredibly intelligent, always strive to find linearity to things, when they are so much more complex and multi-dimensional than that. Quite simply, our systems are so dynamic, both with the economy, politics, weather, our bodies, etc… is there ever a way to understand root causation to such components? I am sure “Tipping Point,” by Malcolm Gladwell probably discusses this—I haven’t yet read that book. Ultimately, as we exist over expanses of time, like a Universal Field Theory for the Universe’s physics, perhaps such things we are never to know or fully understand. However, it is quite amazing, and always something to keep us continuing to try to figure it out.

Of course, as I type this, I am beckoned to Book Lambda of the Metaphysics, by Aristotle. If you’ve not read it, or don’t have the time, look it up sometime on Wikipedia. It’s tough to get around unity and oneness. What a wonder it is in which we exist.

Smearing the Good Guys – How My Relationship with the Right Wing Has Forever Been Damaged

If you have email, and you go to the Internet, undoubtedly, you’ve received email forwards. Beyond that, undoubtedly, you’ve received something akin to: “I love John Adams, and the ghost of John Adams wrote something you can’t argue with. 5 Facts about Obama!

1. He’s a closet alien
2. His father, not from Kenya, is from Mars
3. Obama is one of the Decepticons
4. Obama has been known to say, “ more than meets the eye.”
5. Even though Obama calls Chicago home, he likes Hawaiian food!

The point is, the Right Wing, from Swift Boat Veterans for Truth to the latest and greatest smear-whisper Internet forwards, does nothing but play dirty.

Note: immediately, they will cite Democrats who were in trouble back in the 1980’s, with the House’s post office scandal. Duly noted; however, for ever line item of corruption the Democrats had twenty years ago, Jack Abramoff’s GOP has done just as bad, if not worse. Going beyond that, one doesn’t see too many forwards about Republicans. Why is that? My goodness, could it be that while the Right claims to have moral superiority, they use that to justify shady political tactics? Maybe I’m missing great examples from the other side of things; however, I’d love to hear about them. Because unlike forwards I get about Obama’s middle name being Hussein, etc…, I seldom receive anything short of the facts from Democrats. Whose side do people want to be on, those with honor and dignity or those who play dirty? I am not down with dirty politics; it simply leaves a bad taste in my mouth.

The GOP—Taking Pride in Stupidity? Say It Ain’t So…

It seems quite obvious that there is something endearing to listening to one with whom we could see ourselves having dinner or grabbing a drink; however, it seems as though there could be a limit to this. I don’t expect this blog posting will be written before we hear out of the GOP the words “Joe6Pack” or “HockeyMom.” That’s unfortunate. For the sake of likeability, in the past eight years, the GOP has nominated tickets with the intellectually incurious.*

I recently saw an article, which stated that this began with Dan Quayle, but I think its roots are farther reaching than that. Let’s backup a minute. Right now, we can say that appealing to “Joe6Pack” or “HockeyMoms” is similar to trying to being a populist. “Populism,” for the GOP to continue down this road takes a great deal of chutzpah. This is quite something for a party that has provided for the largest and most disparate gap of wealth in recent history. One could reduce this to “what’s the matter with Kansas” thinking.

Ultimately, where this finds its roots is with the 1968 Republican Convention and its nomination, where Richard M. Nixon and Kevin Phillips successfully devised his “Sothern Strategy.” In a 1970 New York Times article, Phillips said:

“From now on, the Republicans are never going to get more than 10 to 20 percent of the Negro vote and they don't need any more than that... but Republicans would be shortsighted if they weakened enforcement of the Voting Rights Act. The more Negroes who register as Democrats in the South, the sooner the Negrophobe whites will quit the Democrats and become Republicans. That's where the votes are. Without that prodding from the blacks, the whites will backslide into their old comfortable arrangement with the local Democrats” (Boyd, James (May 17, 1970). "Nixon's Southern strategy: 'It's All in the Charts'", The New York Times, pp. 215.)

This was the strategy of the GOP back in the 1970’s, and it’s what then worked well for them. Since, the Democrats have only been able to successfully elect two Presidents, both of whom were from the South.

I would argue, thus far, the Southern Democrats have been the exception, largely because aesthetically they relate best to those the GOP began to attract as its stronger base following the 1970’s Southern Strategy. The continuation of the Seventies’ Southern Strategy was the “Reagan Democrats” in the 1980’s. At that point, due to both the Soviet Union’s menace and a bad economy from Carter’s term, Reagan was able to successfully appeal to blue-collar union folks. Due to escalating the Cold War, Reagan made himself the only option come 1984, as we were then ruled by the politics of fear. Ironically, one could cite the same strategy in 2004—fascinating.

I digress—apologies. Right now, we’ve witnessed two Republican administrations in the past thirty years utilizing the remnants of the “Southern Strategy,” by utilizing populism with a twofold attack.
Quite simply, the Republican Attack can be reduced in two components: One, attack the opponent’s character, highlighting a perceived disconnection with values of the larger portion of the population; two, demonstrate and embellish fear of that opponent’s capabilities against enemies of the United States.

Over the past twenty years, they did this by appealing to the wedge issues around abortion, social welfare, marital infidelity, and the Middle East. When Democrats—Bill Clinton, won, they did so because the economy hits bottom following long Republican terms in office; moreover, there is a reduced air of insecurity, which allows voters to focus on the economy. In this case, following the Bush Administration’s atrocious eight years of office, we have the former, and the latter’s strategy has been massive enough to call that component into question as well.

Quite simply, with John McCain (security) and Sarah Palin (“value”-identification/photogenic), right now, are in front of us. As such, with Palin’s limits to values/photogenic appeal being transparent, in the face of her Bush-like incompetence, even the Reagan Republican Swing Voters know better. Of course, this is why McCain’s ticket’s numbers are as low as they are. Ergo, we are going to see a blitz of character assassination in the coming weeks, which will be the only thing their party’s horrible platform can conjure. It’s unfortunate that we have to suffer. Fortunately, it’s been so transparent leaving Bush and Cheney in office for this length of time.

I have one last favor to ask: please when receiving forwards about the candidates, go to http://www.snopes.com/. Even for McCain-Palin, please go to the website. It’s non-partisan. It simply exists to provide dimensions of truth to the Internet and forwards.







*One could take that even further, and mention Dan Quayle, but for the sake of brevity, I thought I’d keep it to this millennium.

Being a Hack, here in America, That’s Politically Fashionable

My friend Robert asked a question this morning about why it is that Americans and politicians find it so much more agreeable to be “Joe6Pack” or “HockeyMoms” than to be educated or “elite.” It’s a terrific question, and one that too many have spent a lot of time pondering. Call me an elitist or whatever you care to, but I am tired of Hacks being elected.

The current President of the United States is an intellectual hack, who staffed his White House with minions from Dick Cheney. That President’s intellectual incuriosity has cost our country thousands of lives. Last night, even though she cutely accused Obama-Biden’s campaign of looking backwards rather than being about change, Sarah Palin daftly only confirmed that. Governor Palin certainly did demonstrate she can repetitively use the word “maverick,” but she didn’t clearly answer questions nor did she respond to any statements Senator Biden made about her ticket’s being four more years of the same rubbish.

As I wrote about over the past few days: her bar was so low, all she had to do was not stumble over her talking-points. Fair enough, but this was what put her performance, in many people’s opinion, to bed: "Let's talk about the maverick John McCain is," Biden said. "And, again, I love him. He's been a maverick on some issues, but he has been no maverick on the things that matter to people's lives ... He's not been a maverick on virtually anything that genuinely affects the things that people really talk about around their kitchen table."

Sound Bites and Talking Points Are What They Are—Is It Not Recursive to Use Clichés with Them?

One wonders how Tina Fey can get such laughs by quoting the governor verbatim, case and point:

"I think they're just not used to someone coming in from the outside saying, 'You know what? It's time that normal Joe Six-Pack American is finally represented in the position of vice presidency,' and I think that that's kind of taken some people off-guard," she said in a radio interview with conservative host Hugh Hewitt. "

Because that was this week, we’ll have to wait for SNL to play it this weekend. My point, however, is that this woman has said nothing of substance. I make the joke by posting the BINGO card on the blog. Seriously though, I cannot hear one person arguing the contrary on this woman’s contribution to the campaign. In short, she’s photogenic, young, and a governor in Alaska, that’s enough to get her a VP spot for an already dead on its feet political campaign.
I could go on ranting about McCain’s performance yesterday with the Des Moines Register. Rather than do that, I’ll simply let them continue to Implode their campaign. I’m looking forward to this evening’s debate, if only to truly play the BINGO game—just absurd.

PS: Gov. I sure do not want “Joe Six-Pack” represented in the position of “Vice Presidency.” I would prefer he or she have some substantive qualifications that go beyond anything we’ve thus far seen from you—disgraceful.

Setting the Bar Too Low?

Tonight, as we all know, is the Vice-Presidential Debate between Sarah Palin and Joe Biden. Leading up to the debate, the press, following four interviews, has thrown a great deal of analysis and conjecture at Palin’s qualifications. Quite simply, with all of this recent analysis and abhorrent performances, I am concerned the bar has been set so low, her not calling for a bombing of China or a Supreme Religious Cleric leading the Federal Government would be considered a “Win.”

Watching her two tête-à-tête interviews with Couric were quite painful; the same with Charles Gibson’s. Moreover, the third interview with Katie Couric, where McCain sat next to her, and spoke on behalf of her qualifications, to me, seemed like a young woman’s father assisting his daughter during a college entrance interview. In short, the lead up has been rough, and the press, having been held off of her, cannot get enough of the stuff.

In short, here are my thoughts on the strategies of the two campaigns—the quick and dirty. For Obama and Biden, I believe with the economic turmoil and war, their strategy has been to lie low allowing the news to do most of their work for them. The Bush Administration and Republican Party have done so horribly in the past eight years, taking a step back will do nothing to damage the brand. In short, the country knows the DNC’s plank, and Obama’s supporters know where his campaign stands on things. Obama was doing most of his work this summer, and right now, his campaign is allowing the GOP fruit to eat itself.

For the McCain campaign, they went a surprise direction selecting Sarah Palin, Governor of Alaska for VP Candidate. Governor Palin plays the part of being a Governor from the more “Libertarian” West with religious credentials to enliven the Religious Right, with which McCain has always struggled. Beyond that, she, like Bush, is an affable and photogenic candidate with youth on her side. In short, she makes up for what McCain is not.

However, there is a problem with Palin; she is as intellectually incurious as George W. Bush. Watching her on the Couric interviews and with Charles Gibson, one could liken her answers to questions like a doe in the headlights. Quite simply, our country has been duped twice by electing someone for whom study, foreign policy, and intellectualism are not interesting or worth knowing. With a current President who has only been duped by any and every policy salesperson with whom he has spoken, we cannot be ready to elect someone on a ticket making that same mistake again. Those are my hopes.

Of course, with their mastermind strategies, as is evidence with Wall Street deregulation and Neo-Conservative Middle Eastern policies, maybe just maybe, the McCain Campaign has been engineering the expectations for Palin to be incredibly low! “This here is a woman who can spit clichéd talking points ad nauseum! Just watch her resort to them every time she’s asked something to which she doesn’t know the answer!

#1 Problem with McCain

http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/apr2008/db20080429_854428.htm

I would love for my friends and family, who support John McCain’s candidacy, tell me I am wrong on this topic. This is the biggest issue I take with John McCain from a policy position. Tabling the lackluster decision for a VP candidate or his temper, on just a nuts and bolts policy, I cannot understand how anyone in the middle class with good conscience supports a candidate advocating for the following: do away with the employer-based tax exemption and a tax credit to individuals to help them buy their healthcare.

Right now, as per the link: “Kaiser Family Foundation survey released last year found the average annual premium of an employer-based insurance policy is $12,000, of which employees pay about one-third.”

Taking this a step further: “McCain's plan is meant to encourage individuals to purchase their insurance and free companies from the heavy cost of providing coverage. His theory is that employees would take their tax credit and flock to the open market, where they could shop around for the plan that best meets their needs. Insurance companies would have to become more competitive to win their business.”

Here is the last premise I know to be a component of his plan. To this, McCain is proposing the following: “Instead, he would give a $2,500 annual tax credit to individuals, and $5,000 to families, to purchase their own coverage.”

Let’s add this up in classic logic:
The annual premium of employer-based insurance policy is $12,000 (I know the “conservatives” will argue the free-market will change that, but no one can dispute that companies don’t already pursue competition for their best rates; moreover, they buy in bulk). Therefore $12,000 is hopeful, but let’s stick with that for argument’s sake - $12,000
McCain’s plan offers $2,500 to individuals, and $5000 to families for their own coverage purchased
As it stands, if I have a family, and I am fortunate enough to get health coverage for $12,000, I am left with a $7,000 bill.

Now, I know that people can speak to the “Open Market,” which will encourage price competition. All that is doing is relegating folks with less money to be forced to buy poorer “discount” health insurance plans. We all know that there will be different levels of insurers, many of whom will offer plans with overly skimpy coverage.

Senator McCain, look at what took place with the Sub-Prime mortgages! Take uneducated poorer folks, and throw competition at them! Of course, under the assumption that they’ll not be duped by discount insurance salespeople, this works fine. This is the most inept bit of healthcare planning I have ever seen. I’ve not heard nearly enough discussion around a plan this daft. Heaven-forbid horrible things happen to people, but when they do, under this plan, how easily they’ll be deficient of coverage or in Chapter 11. This healthcare plan is morally irresponsible and incredibly short-sighted. At best, it just leaves the average working middle class tax payer with a $7000 increase in bills—good idea!